Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 201.274750 232.133750 267.000321 309.481625 360.068943 418.658449 492.054068
2025-10-19 156.503801 195.076009 242.833467 306.943132 391.713015 501.315760 655.968807
2025-10-26 134.275484 176.921073 233.334712 314.706283 431.215095 595.374606 850.316150
2025-11-02 117.572126 161.774106 223.377866 317.514513 461.379837 679.200148 1046.496969
2025-11-09 105.489033 150.557509 216.219709 321.688880 492.373767 767.979645 1269.075309
2025-11-16 95.192021 140.187987 208.303480 322.589314 517.181526 850.167453 1499.057784
2025-11-23 86.355294 130.718205 200.182313 321.355837 537.373377 927.246137 1737.895619
2025-11-30 80.392071 124.910670 196.904278 327.299887 570.432983 1033.042796 2060.035385
2025-12-07 72.186447 114.498780 184.700090 315.738706 569.125318 1072.606855 2253.148938
2025-12-14 66.449664 107.558510 177.510303 312.060221 581.932830 1142.353908 2532.781273
2025-12-21 62.565243 103.348864 174.535895 315.694426 609.639538 1248.619605 2931.221252
2025-12-28 61.133875 103.245646 178.828847 333.834373 670.421664 1440.971952 3614.114124
2026-01-04 58.963709 101.959074 181.467821 350.571079 735.001213 1667.165626 4508.688489
2026-01-11 54.586564 96.203642 175.048556 347.808596 755.729262 1793.713394 5175.450117
2026-01-18 51.970235 93.475606 174.179688 356.812769 806.328696 2013.038347 6251.943924
2026-01-25 49.042891 89.822912 170.981350 360.066743 843.415618 2206.725568 7348.079647
2026-02-01 46.553698 86.772079 168.641758 364.902407 885.741299 2429.473766 8689.663584
2026-02-08 43.977071 83.283230 164.958993 365.945670 918.157688 2632.813420 10086.248120
2026-02-15 41.447202 79.647458 160.545667 364.516584 943.449076 2822.157599 11555.632706
2026-02-22 39.765209 77.629763 159.482219 371.404524 994.826256 3119.870740 13781.519380
2026-03-01 36.800851 72.609376 151.099237 358.010396 981.799373 3181.750193 14828.996061
2026-03-08 34.710846 69.315942 146.376084 353.751251 996.858761 3356.634570 16670.310094
2026-03-15 33.327576 67.459439 144.829655 357.959118 1040.581102 3662.610685 19604.925237